- Systematic review update
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Geospatial analysis of environmental atmospheric risk factors in neurodegenerative diseases: a systematic review update
Systematic Reviews volume 13, Article number: 267 (2024)
Abstract
Following up the previously published systematic review on the same topic and realizing that new studies and evidence had emerged on the matter, we conducted an update on the same research terms. With the objective of updating the information relating environmental risk factors on neurodegenerative diseases and the geographic approaches used to address them, we searched PubMed, Web of Science and Scopus for all scientific studies considering the following three domains: neurodegenerative disease, environmental atmospheric factor and geographical analysis, using the same keywords as in the previously published systematic review. From February 2020 to February 2023, 35 papers were included versus 34 in the previous period, with dementia (including Alzheimer’s disease) being the most focused disease (60.0%) in this update, opposed to multiple sclerosis on the last review (55.9%). Also, environmental pollutants such as PM2.5 and NO2 have gained prominence, being represented in 65.7% and 42.9% of the new studies, opposed to 9.8% and 12.2% in the previous review, compared to environmental factors such as sun exposure (5.7% in the update vs 15.9% in the original). The mostly used geographic approach remained the patient’s residence (82.9% in the update vs 21.2% in the original and 62.3% in total), and remote sensing was used in 45.7% of the new studies versus 19.7% in the original review, with 42.0% of studies using it globally, being the second most common approach, usually to compute the environmental variable. This review has been registered in PROSPERO with the number CRD42020196188.
Introduction
The pathological changes suffered by the human brain during the ageing process lead to a range of neurodegenerative disorders [1], which are characterized by a progressive loss or damage of neuronal cell leading to compromised brain function. While the world’s population over the age of 60 is expected to reach 22% until 2050, the concern about the future of neurodegenerative diseases arises, and the development of better suitable health systems for elder population is urged forward. Alzheimer’s disease (AD) is the most prevalent of neurodegenerative pathologies worldwide and is responsible for an extensive cognitive damage which usually affects daily chores [2]. Parkinson’s disease (PD) closely follows AD in prevalence and leads to both motor and non-motor symptoms due to dopaminergic neuronal loss. Affecting around 2.5 million people globally, multiple sclerosis (MS) is the third most prevalent neurodegenerative disease and is usually an autoimmune response causing an inflammatory demyelination of the brain [3].
Other risk factors are known in the development of neurodegenerative disorders, including gender, aggravated clinical history — hypertension, diabetes, cranial injury and tumours — and smoking and drinking [4]. Nevertheless, the knowledge on the development of these pathologies remains incomplete, and it is thought environmental factors may have a contribution [4]. With 91% of the world’s population living under high pollution levels, with air quality levels above the established limits for health safety by the World Health Organization (WHO) [5], the urge for studying its implications on the population’s health is rising. Recent studies have revealed that atmospheric pollution can trigger mechanisms responsible for neurodegenerative diseases [6,7,8].
A useful tool to both measure and analyse environmental exposure to air pollution is remote sensing data/techniques, and it has been increasingly used in epidemiological studies with the number publications featuring remote sensing applied to health increasing from 5.6 to 13.3% between 2007 and 2016 [9]. Geospatial analysis allows to integrate information on health, environmental data and socio-economic information at a local and global focus. Future research may then maximize the data used and establish future policies, which may be critical in preventing and progressing neurodegenerative diseases.
Following our previous systematic review [10], this systematic review update aims to identify new studies concerning neurodegenerative diseases and their environmental atmospheric risk factors through a geographical approach.
Materials and methods
The methods for this review are similar to the ones previously used in the original review [10].
Information sources and search strategy
We searched PubMed, Web of Science and Scopus databases from the 1st February 2020 until the 31st January 2023, using the keywords on Table 1. This review has been previously registered in PROSPERO with the number CRD42020196188 and has currently been set as updated. Duplicates were removed prior to abstract screening.
Eligibility criteria
Records were included if they contained all three domains considered in this review, neurodegenerative disease, atmospheric pollutant or factor and geographical approach, and were excluded otherwise. Inclusion criteria were as follows: (1) Studying a neurodegenerative disease, (2) accounting for atmospheric environmental factors or pollutants, (3) using geospatial analysis or tools and (4) include all previous criteria in the same study. All languages were considered.
Exclusion criteria encompassed studying mechanisms and biospecimen behind a neurodegenerative disease, soil and water pollutants and simply stating a geographical area without further comparing nor analysing it.
Selection process
Abstracts were independently read by two authors to apply the inclusion and exclusion criteria explained above and select eligible papers for full-text screening. Rayyan was used to manage and perform all selection process in the abstracts phase. Abstracts were included if both reviewers agreed on the inclusion decision and excluded likewise. In abstracts with disagreement, reviewers discussed the individual cases until consensus was reached.
Data collection process
The review process was conducted independently by each of the two reviewers, who then convened to discuss their findings. Full texts were firstly screened for further selection. Rayyan kept being used in this phase to keep track of each reviewer’s decisions. Included full texts’ information was retrieved using semi-structured forms equal to the ones used in the original review. The forms included free writing inputs such as the title, year, country, authors, DOI, participants, aims and key findings. Additionally, multiple-choice inputs were available for study design, statistical methods, outcome measurements, study limitations, neurodegenerative disease, environmental risk factors, geographic approach and type of geographical approach. Some level of simplification was made on categorizing the study limitations, as to better fit most studies on the main biases and issues encountered. However, new methodologies from the papers made it necessary to add fields such as Bayesian methods in the statistical methods, as well as PM1 and black carbon (BC) as environmental factors. All respective options are listed in Table 2. Reviewers had the liberty to include supplementary free text comments when they felt it was necessary.
Study risk-of-bias assessment
To evaluate the risk of bias in individual studies, the study’s limitations were categorized according to a set of predefined options. These options included the following: none given by the authors; conflict of interests (any conflict of interests stated by the authors); confounding factors (unassessed confounding factors); ecological bias (extrapolation of a conclusion from a population to a patient); exposure assessment (issues with assessing the patient’s exposure to the environmental factor); interpolation (issues with spatially interpolating the environmental factor); memory bias (data collection relying on patient’s memory); migration of patients (patients moving from one residence to another); referral bias (studies relying on the doctor’s referring similar cases); sampling issues (under sampling; over sampling or non-representative sampling); statistical issues (lacking of more relevant statistical methods); study design issues (studies acknowledging inappropriate study design); survival bias (relying on a patient being alive over a period of time); time-related issues (inability to assess the amount of time a patient was exposed to the environmental factor); and unassessed patients (patients outside the databases not being considered). The risk of bias was retrieved from the paper itself, as assessed by the respective authors, and was not further analysed by the reviewers.
Effect measurements
Outcomes from studies were extracted using the same forms, in which each reviewer could select which measurement was used (prevalence, correlation, relative risk, odds ratio, hazard ratio and regression coefficients), as well as the obtained values with simple plus signs (+) for statistically significative positive associations, minus signs (−) for statistically significative negative associations and question marks (?) for statistically non-significative associations. All studies’ measurements were considered, and only relative associations were noted to allow for more broad comparison. The strength of the association was not taken into account to simplify the relative comparison across different study types, population sizes and other variables that might influence the results.
Results
Identification, screening and assessment
Of the 3510 abstracts obtained, 2282 articles were initially screened after duplicates were removed, from which only 35 were included in the final study. The number of published papers on the scope of this review has clearly increased through the years, as visible in the graphic of Fig. 1. 2021 was the year with the most published articles in this scope, with 17 papers, while until 2015 only 15 had ever been published. The trend line presented in Fig. 1 is a fourth-degree polynomial line automatically obtained by fitting the number of studies over the years, and that shows the increasing trend in the amount of works published in the field. The selection process is summarized using PRISMA presented by a flow diagram (Fig. 2). The discrepancy in the total number of excluded studies and the sum of the exclusion reason categories are due to the overlapping of exclusion reasons. The full list with the studies results from the original review, and the present update is provided on Table S1 in the supplementary matterials.
Overall, as in Table 3, most papers studied multiple sclerosis (43.5%) and dementia — including AD — (34.8%) as neurodegenerative diseases and compared them with either PM2.5, NOX and PM10 (44.9%, 36.2% and 23.2%, respectively). Using the patient’s residence as an estimator of exposure was used in 62.3% of the studies, and remote sensing was used in 42.0%. As categories from each domain are not mutually exclusive, the sum of all categories may be higher than the total number of articles. The graphics in Fig. 3 represent the number of articles in each domain with the corresponding categories.
The main methodological characteristics of the included studies are summarized on Table 4. A more detailed table with each paper’s characteristics is included in supplementary materials in Table S1. The country of origin of the studies is represented in Fig. 4. The country with the most papers published was the USA, with 19 papers overall, 8 of which about dementia. It was also the country with the most variety of neurodegenerative diseases studied, which included dementia, MS, PD, amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) and paediatric multiple sclerosis (PMS). A list of all countries with their corresponding published papers is available on Table 5. As several times countries have joined their efforts to study a specific disease, the total number of studies included and the sum of the published papers by country do not match.
Qualitative synthesis
The following analysis was performed taking into account all included articles from the original and the updated systematic review. Further, detailed information regarding the results presented in each study is presented on in the supplementary materials.
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Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: ALS was approached on four studies [11,12,13,14]. Of these, three studied its interaction with PM10 [12,13,14], and two analysed PM2.5 [12, 14]. Both pollutants generally showed a negative but not significant association. A study [11] identified a significant negative association between ALS and sun exposure and significant positive association with precipitation and humidity, while no significant associations were identified with both temperature and pressure. Another study [12] found a positive significant association with NOx, with an odds ratio (OR) between 1.872 and 2.703. This study found no more significant associations with the remaining pollutants studied: SO2, CO, O3 and Pb.
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Dementia: Dementia, including AD, was studied 24 times [15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29,30,31,32,33,34,35,36,37,38], 18 of which focused on PM2.5, with 13 finding a significant positive association between dementia and PM2.5 [15, 19, 21, 22, 26,27,28,29,30,31,32, 36, 37], with hazard ratios ranging from 1.02 [36] to 1.67 [30] and the remaining not finding a significant association [23, 33, 34, 38]. No association was ever found between dementia and temperature [16, 20], humidity [20] nor black carbon [23, 26, 33]. The outcomes concerning NOx and NO2 were controversial, with six papers finding a positive association [15, 25, 35, 39,40,41], two finding a negative association [20] (in particular with Alzheimer [23]) and five finding no significant association [22, 23, 26, 33, 34]. Furthermore, a study [35] approached several air pollutants (PM10, NO2, SO2, CO and O3) and found a significant positive association with all of them.
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Motor neuron disease: Only one study focused on motor neuron disease (MND) [42], and it positively related the disease to lead (Pb), with a correlation coefficient of 0.824.
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Multiple sclerosis: MS was studied 30 times [23, 43,44,45,46,47,48,49,50,51,52,53,54,55,56,57,58,59,60,61,62,63,64,65,66,67,68,69,70,71], 13 of which in relation to sun exposure, where half the studies found a significant negative association [43,44,45, 47, 50, 51], half found no significant association [52, 55, 56, 58, 60, 70] and 1 found a positive association [62]. Other environmental factors such as temperature and precipitation brought up further conflicts: some studies found a negative relation to temperature [43, 44, 49, 66], opposing others [45, 47, 49], and precipitation was mostly inconclusive [43, 47]. Concerning the air pollutants, the results were more in line with each other, with most studies finding at least one significant positive association [23, 48, 53, 57, 59, 61, 67,68,69, 71].
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Paediatric multiple sclerosis: Two studies focused on PMS [72, 73]: one positively relating an air quality index to the disease [72] and another one studying several pollutants, positively associating the disease with PM2.5, SO2, CO and Pb, and not finding significative association with PM10, NOX and O3 [73].
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Parkinson’s disease: Finally, PD was studied 12 times [23, 29, 32, 74,75,76,77,78,79,80,81,82], mostly related to air pollutants, where significant positive relations were found between the disease and PM10 [81], PM2.5 [23, 32, 82], NOX/NO2 [23, 77, 81] and CO [77]. No associations were found with either black carbon [23, 82], copper [75], lead [75] and manganese [74]. Negative associations were also found in relation to sun exposure [78] and O3 [82].
Discussion
Overview
This systematic review has retrieved as many studies in this update, concerning 2020 to 2023 as in the original review, from inception to 2020, using the same methods, suggesting an increased concern in relating neurodegenerative diseases to, primarily, air pollution. Also, an increasing trend of studying dementia opposed to MS was clearly observed, which could indicate a new focus on less studied diseases. This updated version of the systematic review has hence brought new insights on the subject.
ALS studies are scarce, as well as MND and PMS ones, probably due to the low incidence of these diseases, and gaps addressing the related environmental risk factors have been found [83]. Considering the three most prevalent diseases, dementia (including AD) has nearly come level with MS in terms of the number of studies (24 versus 28), and PD, the second most prevalent neurodegenerative disease worldwide, has been studied not even half the times (10). Overall, all neurodegenerative diseases were positively related to air pollutants such as PM10, PM2.5, NO2, SO2 and CO [12, 15, 17, 19,20,21,22,23, 26,27,28,29,30,31,32, 35,36,37,38, 48, 53, 59, 61, 67,68,69, 71, 73, 75, 77, 81, 82].
In the studies reviewed, various environmental factors were analysed for their associations with neurological conditions, yielding mixed results across different diseases. For ALS, significant associations were noted with NOX, but not with PM10 or PM2.5. Dementia studies predominantly identified a positive link with PM2.5, while findings regarding NOX and NO2 were inconsistent. MND research indicated a positive correlation with lead. MS studies showed a divided stance on sun exposure, with air pollutants generally associated positively. Paediatric MS research also found positive associations with PM2.5, SO2, CO and lead. PD research demonstrated significant associations with PM10, PM2.5, NOX/NO2 and CO, but not with other pollutants like black carbon or heavy metals. These results underscore the varied impact of environmental factors on neurological conditions, with certain pollutants, as is the case of PM10 and PM2.5, consistently appearing as risk factors. The lack of studies in South America and Africa rises the concern of whether this group of diseases is being overlooked in these areas. Although Africa has the lowest rates of neurodegenerative diseases in the world, the same cannot be said about South America, and so further research on this region is advised.
Study limitations
Our study has some limitations. For instance, despite this being an update, rarer diseases such as Creutzfeldt-Jakob and Huntington’s are still unstudied in the domains of this review. It is thus identified as a potential future study case to focus on the diseases not yet found. Also, despite not having excluded any study based on its language, and having scanned three different relevant databases in the scientific field, no grey literature was analysed, and it could potentially provide further studies of interest. Also, no particular tool was used to assess the risk of bias from the included studies. It is relevant to refer that the studies included in this review focus on association and not causality; thus, no causal inference can be taken from the results collected.
Study implications
Future works on the field of neurodegenerative diseases and their relation to environmental factors might refer to this review as a starting point to identify studies in the area, along with which diseases have been studied and those which still lack analysis, and which environmental factors have they been related to, hypothesizing environmental factors relatable to unstudied diseases or related environmental factors yet to analyse. The geographic approaches also present diverse methods that can be used to add the geographical dimension to the studies, as well as exposures assessment.
Conclusions
The most studied neurodegenerative diseases were in line with the most prevalent ones worldwide. It is mostly unanimous that environmental pollutants significantly influence the incidence of these pathologies, increasing their rates. Particulate matter and nitric oxides were the most studied pollutants and have mostly contributed positively to the rates of neurodegenerative diseases. The present systematic review update provides an insight of the evidence being made regarding the association between environmental factors and neurodegenerative diseases using geospatial analysis. As with the original systematic review, the ever-increasing amount of data support the development of further research on this topic. Less prevalent diseases such as ALS, MND and PMS have been targeted as less studied, as well as the regions of South America and Africa, and are an interesting starting point for future works.
Data availability
All data generated or analysed during this study are included in this published article and its supplementary information files.
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Acknowledgements
The authors would like to kindly thank the authors who made their studies available for full paper screening when these were not available online.
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This research was funded by FCT — Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia, grant number SFRH/BD/147324/2019, and national MCTES funds and supported also by National Funds through FCT — Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia, I.P., within CINTESIS, R&D Unit (reference UIDB/4255/2020).
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13643_2024_2637_MOESM1_ESM.docx
Supplementary Material 1. Supplementary tables: Table S1. Detailed characteristics of each included study. ALS: amyotrophic lateral sclerosis; GIS: geographic information system; MS: multiple sclerosis. Table S2. Study results summary. + : positive statistically significative association, -: negative statistically significative association; ?: no statistically significative association found.
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Oliveira, M., Padrão, A., Teodoro, A.C. et al. Geospatial analysis of environmental atmospheric risk factors in neurodegenerative diseases: a systematic review update. Syst Rev 13, 267 (2024). https://doiorg.publicaciones.saludcastillayleon.es/10.1186/s13643-024-02637-7
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DOI: https://doiorg.publicaciones.saludcastillayleon.es/10.1186/s13643-024-02637-7